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Super selections

Pro Football Weekly’s editors offer their predictions for this year’s Super Bowl

Friday, Jan. 11, 2002

It won’t be a surprise to PFW staffers if the Rams play the Steelers in Super Bowl XXXVI. It will be a surprise if the Rams don’t reach the title game. Consider the majority of PFW’s editors firmly on the Rams’ bandwagon as they head into the postseason with just two losses all year. Owners of the top-ranked offense, including MVP Kurt Warner and MVP runner-up Marshall Faulk, the Rams didn’t return to their familiar role as title contender until they beefed up their defense in the offseason. The moves have worked as the St. Louis’ defense is ranked third in the NFL. Also, don’t forget that if the Rams keep winning, they won’t have to play outdoors the rest of the season.

Jeff Agrest, Senior editor

It's not often that the No. 1 seeds in each conference reach the Super Bowl, but I like that to happen this season. In a rematch of Super Bowl XIV, won 31-19 by the Steelers over the then Los Angeles Rams, the current St. Louis Rams will prevail. There's just no stopping them. They have so much balance offensively that I don't think any defense in the history of football could contain them. Defensively, the Rams have improved by leaps and bounds. Keep in mind, St. Louis' defense has been pretty banged up of late, yet it finished second in the league in yards allowed and sixth in points allowed. The Steelers will keep the game close early because of RB Jerome Bettis, but a few big plays from QB Kurt Warner will increase the margin in the second half before RB Marshall Faulk puts the game away. Pittsburgh's 3-4 defense could give the Rams some trouble, but remember, the Rams saw some of that same look preparing for New England earlier this season and prevailed. Also, if the Rams should have to utilize more blockers to protect Warner because of the 3-4, I forsee an easy adjustment. Head coach Mike Martz can shape his offense any way he wants, and it's that offense that makes the Rams my Super Bowl pick.

Dan Arkush, Executive editor

With arguably the two best offensive players in the game today, I have to go with the Rams to win this year's Super Bowl. Their offense is operating on all cylinders, and, perhaps even more importantly, their defense has become one of the best in the league after being one of the worst last season. I don't think any team has that kind of balance on both sides of the ball, except perhaps Pittsburgh, who I pick to be St. Louis’ opponent on Feb. 3 in the Superdome. In the championship game, I look for "The Greatest Show on Turf" to steal the show in convincing fashion.

Ken Bikoff, Associate editor

The only way the Rams won't pick up their second Super Bowl trophy in three seasons is if they beat themselves. The defense has improved so much over last season that the offense is allowed to make some mistakes and get away with them. If QB Kurt Warner throws interceptions and St. Louis doesn't capitalize on its opportunities, the team is vulnerable. But no team in the NFC or AFC can match the Rams when they are at their best. The Steelers have the best shot, and I think they will get their chance in the Super Bowl. St. Louis' overall speed, however, will be a problem for Pittsburgh. The Rams' defense is much improved against the run this season and will be able to contain RB Jerome Bettis and shut down the Steelers' offense.

Andy Hanacek, Associate editor

Last year, most folks clamored for a Ravens-Rams Super Bowl, where the most explosive offense played the most dominant defense. They didn't get it. This year, they will. The Steelers and Rams will square off in New Orleans, bringing an end to this crazy season. Even though the Steelers have struggled giving up big pass plays, don't count them out of this one. The Rams will have been beaten up by the Bears (in my opinion) in the NFC Championship game (which the Bears might just win), and Pittsburgh brings the heat more than the Bears at times. If the Rams hammer their NFC title-game opponent, they'll edge out the Steelers on one big play, much like they did against the Buccaneers in the 1999 NFC Championship game. But if they had to squeak out a win in the NFC Championship, look for Pittsburgh to beat up the Rams physically and hoist the trophy in what will no doubt be an exciting game. My guess is No. 2 — a victory to the Steelers.

Mike Holbrook, Managing editor

This is a tough call, but I’m going to have to go with the top seeds — St. Louis and Pittsburgh — with the belief that home-field advantage will be awfully important in these playoffs. While I’ve got a feeling that the Rams’ penchant for turnovers could put them in jeopardy, the "Greatest Show on Turf" is too potent for most defenses, including the Steelers. Pittsburgh does have one thing that can cause the Rams trouble, and that’s a strong pass rush. With a league-best 55 sacks, the Steelers can put pressure on Rams QB Kurt Warner and cause turnovers. But I’ve got a feeling the Rams will find a way to protect their MVP. Look for this game to be a tight, hard-fought battle that comes down to the wire, much like the Rams-Titans game did in Super Bowl XXXIV. In the end, I think the Rams have too many weapons and Warner will hook up with WRs Torry Holt or Isaac Bruce on a game-breaking, long TD pass to win their second title in three years.

Kevin McCauley, Website coordinator

In a year that saw fresh, new faces rising to the forefront, young superstars taking teams to new heights and signs of struggling franchises returning to past glory days of tradition, the outcome this year is all too predictable. How many times have you heard that defense wins championships? I thought so…That being said, I find the obvious choice to take home this year’s Lombardi Trophy truly offensive. Offensive that is, in a Warner, Faulk, Bruce, Holt, Hakim, etc. sort of way. Despite having a quarterback prone to throwing interceptions, the Rams’ arsenal of offensive weapons is more than enough to compensate for any number of errant missiles fired by league MVP Kurt Warner and will prove to be too much for any of their worthy opponents to combat. With all due respect to the Rams’ defense, its job is simply to occupy the field long enough to give the "Warner Brothers" time to rest and plan their next foray into the endzone. I see a number of close matchups in the AFC resulting in Pittsburgh showing up in New Orleans as merely a formality for the Rams as St. Louis wins its second Super Bowl title in three years.

Trent Modglin, Associate editor

In our Kickoff Issue, I chose the Rams to beat the Broncos in New Orleans. All right, so I was off with the talented but inconsistent Broncos, but there’s no way you could sway me away from the Rams at this point. I think there are teams (primarily in the NFC) that could beat St. Louis if they play a near-perfect game, but I’m sticking with the best show on turf because the Rams won’t be venturing outside during the postseason except to start their cars. In the AFC, things are a little less secure. Against my better judgment, I’m going to stick with the plummeting Raiders, who I chose at midseason to replace the Broncos as the AFC representative. I realize they don’t exactly enter the playoffs on a high note, they’re beat up physically, they likely would have to go through New England and/or Pittsburgh and they’re playing a team they lost to in the season finale in the first round. I have come to terms with all of this, and yet I’m still leaning in their direction. Why, you may ask? Because I believe they have too much veteran leadership not to get it done. It will be a tough road to New Orleans, but the Silver & Black will return to the form they showed early on. And then get crushed by the Rams.

Nolan Nawrocki, Associate editor

There are four teams I can see in New Orleans on Feb. 3. In the NFC, I will be surprised if the top two seeds, St. Louis and Chicago, do not meet in the NFC championship game. Chicago has allowed the fewest points in the NFL. They win games with defense, very much like last year’s Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens. They have won every game this year when they have scored more than 13 points. If they can disrupt Kurt Warner, tame Marshall Faulk and make big plays defensively like they have done all year, the Bears have a chance of representing the NFC in the Super Bowl. However, St. Louis has been incredibly dominant this season and features the game’s best offense and third-ranked defense. They are stocked with talent with Pro Bowl-caliber players at nearly every position and will be very difficult to beat. They have won the Super Bowl before and are hungry to do it again. In the AFC, Pittsburgh has to be the overwhelming favorite. Like the Rams, the Steelers rank second in the league defensively and fifth offensively. QB Kordell Stewart has elevated his game. RB Jerome Bettis is a truck coming out of the backfield. WRs Hines Ward and Plaxico Burress not only have been productive catching the ball, but are excellent blocking downfield. Defensively, the Steelers’ 3-4 formation allows their linebackers to play are all over the field, and they have been shutting down opponents all season. Nonetheless, my surprise pick in the AFC is a team that barely made the playoffs last week under first-year head coach Herman Edwards. The New York Jets are 7-1 on the road and lead the NFL in perhaps the most important statistical category in the game of football — turnover differential. The Jets’ +18 turnover margin is the main reason, along with a superb offensive line and the vision of RB Curtis Martin, that the Jets made the playoffs this year. Edwards’ positive attitude is contagious, and I would not be surprised to see Edwards take his sixth-seeded Jets to the Superdome if QB Vinny Testaverde can play like the seasoned veteran he is.

Pick: Rams over Jets

Ron Pollack, Editor-in-chief

Rams over Steelers. Yeah, it’s boring to make chalk picks like this, but I think these are the teams to beat. That said, I don't think any team in the NFL can be considered an overwhelming lock to reach the Super Bowl. A Rams-Bears matchup would be very interesting, but I don’t think that even the Bears’ sensational defense can shut St. Louis down. Slow them down, maybe. Even so, a slowed down Rams offense is more impressive than most. On the flip side, I just don’t see the Bears' offense doing enough against the Rams. While it's not incomprehensible, I don't see any of the other NFC teams being able to win back-to-back road games against the Bears and Rams (assuming form holds) in the playoffs. In the AFC I really had a hard time turning my back on the Patriots. New England seems to be playing like a team of destiny right now. I was hugely on the Steelers' bandwagon until their late-season loss to the Bengals, which gives me cause for concern. Nonetheless, I think home-field advantage will carry the Steelers to the Super Bowl. That said, I won't be at all surprised if Patriots head coach Bill Belichick comes up with the sensational game plan necessary to frustrate Steelers QB Kordell Stewart in the AFC title game.

Jeff Reynolds, Associate editor

Steelers 26, Rams 20 ... As much as I would like to lean toward the St. Louis Rams, the Pittsburgh Steelers are my pick to hoist the Lombardi Trophy in the New Orleans Superdome Feb. 3. Pittsburgh, much like Philadelphia (a 20-17 overtime loser to St. Louis in Week One), the New York Giants (a 15-14 loser to St. Louis in Week Five) and New Orleans (a 34-31 winner at St. Louis in Week Seven), uses a blitzing scheme that will keep Rams QB Kurt Warner off-balance, unable to find his timing or rhythm under constant pressure from LBs Joey Porter (9.0 sacks), Kendrell Bell (9.0 sacks), Jason Gildon (12.0 sacks) and DEs Kimo von Oelhoffen (4.5 sacks) and Aaron Smith (7.5 sacks). Pittsburgh defensive coordinator Tim Lewis’ bunch will force the turnover-prone Rams into mistakes with pressure and speed. RB Jerome Bettis might be the clincher here. Rams defensive coordinator Lovie Smith has his unit playing very well, but Bettis has no equivalent, he’s the top of the mountain when it comes to bruising backs. Don't be surprised if New England or Chicago disrupts this scenario with an upset in the conference title game.

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