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"In our opinion" daily columns

Monday, July 29, 2002

Who’ll be on the hot seat?

A preseason look at the job security of each NFL coach

By Keith Schleiden, Managing editor

Invariably, by Week Three or Four of the regular season, the rumors will begin to swirl about head coaches in the NFL. The handicapping on which one will be fired first will start. The "Who’s on the hot seat?" features will begin to appear in publications.

While it may not be nice, it’s always interesting to speculate about someone else’s job. So, why wait until we are several weeks into the season. Let’s take a look at where each NFL head coach currently stands, and how it may impact his long-term future with his team.

AFC East

Dave Wannstedt/Miami Dolphins

In three seasons in Miami, Wanny has led the Dolphins into the playoffs three times. After adding RB Ricky Williams to the mix, he could have his most potent offense since being hired. He’ll be back in 2003.

Herman Edwards/New York Jets

In his first year on the job, Edwards led the Jets to a 10-win season. Now that he’s had a chance to overhaul his defense, this team should be on pace to make another run at the postseason. Edwards has nice job security.

Bill Belichick/New England Patriots

Belichick could probably call his boss nasty names and still have a job, what with leading the Patriots to a Super Bowl win last season. Even if the Patriots fall back to earth in 2002, Belichick has little to worry about.

Gregg Williams/Buffalo Bills

Williams coached the Bills to just three wins in his first season on the job. But he inherited a very tough situation. The Bills should be ready to show big improvement this season, especially with the addition of QB Drew Bledsoe. Even if the Bills struggle to reach mediocrity this year, Williams will be on the job for a third season.

AFC North

Bill Cowher/Pittsburgh Steelers

There is a theory among some coaches that 10 years in one spot is long enough. Well, Cowher is entering his 11th season as head coach of the Steelers, who are among the favorites to reach the Super Bowl. What if the Steelers wind up as massive underachievers? Or if they blow it in the postseason, as they’ve been known to do? It would be surprising, but not out of the realm of possibility, for a new man to be in charge in 2003.

Butch Davis/Cleveland Browns

He instantly re-energized this franchise when he was hired last offseason. Davis has this team on the upswing, so there’s no reason to believe he won’t be in Cleveland for a long time to come.

Brian Billick/Baltimore Ravens

He guided the Ravens to a Super Bowl two years ago and then again led the team to the playoffs last season. Now, after an offseason of overcoming salary-cap challenges, the Ravens are a completely different team. Billick is safe during the rebuilding process.

Dick LeBeau/Cincinnati Bengals

Things could go either way for LeBeau. In 2000, he coached the Bengals to a 4-9 record after taking over early in the season for Bruce Coslet. Last year, the Bengals finished 6-10. Unless this team reaches the .500 mark this year, it would be hard to envision the Bengals keeping LeBeau around, as that would be three consecutive losing records for him.

AFC South

Tony Dungy/Indianapolis Colts

Here is another fairly safe coach. He’s in his first season in Indy, and his largest task is to overhaul the defense. If he can do that, and the Colts’ high-powered offense keeps attacking, this team should be pretty good. If Dungy completely fails to upgrade the defense, and the team takes a step back instead of forward, it is conceivable that Dungy could be in trouble. But owners never like to fire a coach who has several years remaining on his contract.

Jeff Fisher/Tennessee Titans

Fisher is entering his ninth season with the Oilers/Titans. Tennessee is coming off a disappointing 7-9 season. But that record can be blamed in part on a secondary that was decimated by injuries and an out-of-sorts Eddie George. The Titans are expected to bounce back in 2002. But if they don’t, then Fisher could be in trouble. Odds are he’s back next season, unless the team completely falls apart.

Tom Coughlin/Jacksonville Jaguars

There were rumors that Coughlin was on the hot seat last year. But owner Wayne Weaver denied such talk and even gave Coughlin a contract extension. Considering the team had to be torn down and built back up because of a tough salary-cap situation, Coughlin might be safe no matter how hard a season it is in Jacksonville.

Dom Capers/Houston Texans

Despite the fact that the Texans have yet to play a game, Capers is in his second season on the job. He was hired before the 2001 season so that he could begin working on building the franchise. Simply put, Capers’ job is safe.

AFC West

Bill Callahan/Oakland Raiders

Callahan takes over for Jon Gruden, who was basically traded to the Buccaneers. The team has added a lot of veteran blood, in what appears to be a last push for a Super Bowl title before beginning a rebuilding process. Callahan could be one-year stopgap coach for Al Davis. Unless the team reaches its ultimate goal, Davis could wind up dumping Callahan and getting some new blood. This is hardly a settled situation.

Mike Shanahan/Denver Broncos

Shanahan is entering his eighth season as head coach of the Broncos and has a pair of Super Bowl rings to show for it. He’s widely considered one of the best coaches in the NFL. Even though the Broncos were a mediocre 8-8 last year, this team could challenge for it all in 2002. Unless this team completely falls apart, Shanahan should be safe.

Marty Schottenheimer/San Diego Chargers

He was fired after one season in Washington. But the Spanos family isn’t as impatient as Daniel Snyder is. He is safe beyond this season.

Dick Vermeil/Kansas City Chiefs

Vermeil is entering his second season with the Chiefs and hopes this go-around is an improvement over last year, when the Chiefs finished with just six wins. Unless he retires, Vermeil will be back in 2003.

NFC East

Andy Reid/Philadelphia Eagles

Team owner Jeffrey Lurie has supreme confidence in Reid, so much so that he handed the head coach power over all personnel decisions. Reid has built a team that should contend for the Super Bowl for several seasons to come. And he’ll be around to oversee it.

Dave Campo/Dallas Cowboys

Jerry Jones has never been afraid to make a change in coaches. He got rid of Jimmy Johnson and hired Barry Switzer. He got rid of Switzer and hired Chan Gailey. He got rid of Gailey and hired Dave Campo. In two seasons at the helm, Campo has guided the Cowboys to a pair of 5-11 records. Surprised he’s still around? You shouldn’t be. Jones recognizes that Campo had to deal with an injured Troy Aikman in 2000 and a salary-cap mess in 2001. Now, though, Campo will begin to be judged. If the Cowboys don’t show improvement this season, Campo could be in trouble.

Steve Spurrier/Washington Redskins

Owner Daniel Snyder has gone through three head coaches in the past two years. Now, though, Snyder has the guy he has long coveted. What if Spurrier’s offense doesn’t work in the NFL? Would Snyder dump him and pay off the final $20 million owed over the final four years of the contract? Who knows? But the odds are good that Spurrier won’t get the one-year-and-you’re-gone treatment that Marty Schottenheimer received.

Jim Fassel/New York Giants

Not a lot is expected of the Giants this season. What that means for Fassel, who is entering his sixth season in New York, is unknown. Fassel has been on shaky ground before, and it wouldn’t be surprising at all if he finds himself there again.

NFC North

Mike Sherman/Green Bay Packers

Sherman has quickly established himself as a head coach in the NFL. As far as being a talent evaluator/general manager, the jury is still out. Nevertheless, Sherman has to be considered as safe as they come.

Dick Jauron/Chicago Bears

He was supposed to be fired after last season. At least, that was the plan. But then the Bears screwed everything up by having a surprisingly successful season, which led to a contract extension for Jauron. If the Bears were to plummet to the cellar of the NFC North, then Jauron could be ousted. But that’s a real long shot. For the moment, at least, Jauron is safe.

Mike Tice/Minnesota Vikings

He took over last year when Dennis Green resigned before Week 17, and he retained the head-coaching job by default. There is a line of thinking that Tice has one year to prove himself. If he does well, he will keep the job. If he doesn’t, then he’ll be out. There’s also been speculation that owner Red McCombs will sell the team, and since Tice doesn’t have a very costly contract, it would be easy for the new owner to make a change in coaches.

Marty Mornhinweg/Detroit Lions

2001 was a colossal disaster under Mornhinweg. If the Lions don’t show considerable improvement this year, he could be in trouble. Matt Millen won’t tolerate another two-win season, no matter how young the quarterbacks are.

NFC South

Jon Gruden/Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Considering what the Bucs gave up to get Gruden (two first-rounders, two second-rounders and $8 million in cash), there is no chance that Gruden isn’t around Tampa for the long haul.

Jim Haslett/New Orleans Saints

He doesn’t even have a contract beyond this season. While there are apparently discussions about an extension, if he doesn’t sign one, then he can become a coaching free agent next spring. That would be good for Haslett if the Saints have a successful season, but it would be bad for him if the Saints struggle this year.

Dan Reeves/Atlanta Falcons

One of these days, Reeves is going to hang up the clipboard and retire. When you have a prospect as exciting as Michael Vick, it’s hard to do. But there are changes being made in the Falcons’ organization, now that Arthur Blank heads into his first full season as owner. That alone has to make you wonder if Reeves is entering his final season in charge of the Falcons.

John Fox/Carolina Panthers

He takes over a team that won just one game last year. The Panthers have to be patient, as it will take some time to turn this thing around in Carolina. Fox has good job security for a few years.

NFC West

Mike Martz/St. Louis Rams

The Rams just signed Martz to a contract extension that included a big raise. Considering this is the hottest team in the NFL, there is little reason to believe that Martz won’t be around for several more years.

Steve Mariucci/San Francisco 49ers

Considering he flirted with the Bucs this offseason — along with the fact that the 49ers allowed him to do so — makes this a hard situation to figure out. If the 49ers were to stumble this year and fail to live up to expectations, the front office could make a move.

Mike Holmgren/Seattle Seahawks

In three seasons with the Seahawks, Holmgren has compiled a 24-24 record. Hardly the results that Paul Allen was expecting when he hired Holmgren away from the Packers. There have been rumors coming out of Seattle for a year now that Holmgren is on the hot seat. If the Seahawks fail to move forward and qualify for the playoffs this year, it wouldn’t be surprising if there were some major changes in the Seahawks’ organization.

Dave McGinnis/Arizona Cardinals

McGinnis guided the Cardinals to seven wins last year, his first full season on the job. He has this team pointed in the right direction. While they may not be ready to challenge for the playoffs this year — especially now that they are in the highly competitive NFC West — they might be in the near future. McGinnis will be around beyond this season.

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