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"In our opinion" daily columns

Tuesday, July 3, 2001

Least affordable injuries

A key injury could spell doom for four NFL teams

By Michael Holbrook, Managing editor of special projects

Everyone knows that injuries are a way of life in the NFL. However, some injuries are more devastating than others, especially when they involve star players.

Look at the New York Jets in 1999. They had just reached the AFC championship game the season before and were poised to make a Super Bowl run under coach Bill Parcells as opening day got under way. Then a terrible thing happened to them. QB Vinny Testaverde ruptured his Achilles tendon on a simple handoff and was lost for the rest of the season.

Lacking an adequate backup quarterback, the Jets struggled mightily, wound up with an 8-8 record and failed to make the playoffs.

Key injuries to star RBs Terrell Davis and Jamal Anderson also ruined the 1999 playoff hopes for Denver and Atlanta, respectively. Davis went down with a knee injury in the fourth game in ’99, and the two-time defending Super Bowl champion Broncos finished with a 6-10 record. Anderson tore up his knee in Week Two, and the Falcons never recovered from the loss, going 5-11.

Will a key player get injured and lost for the season this year? I hope not, but odds are it will happen. Let’s take a look at four teams that can least afford to lose an offensive star this coming season:

Indianapolis is at the top of the list. Since a large percentage of its budget is tied up in three superstars — QB Peyton Manning, RB Edgerrin James and WR Marvin Harrison — the Colts have depth issues with lower-priced backups. As a result, if Manning goes down, the Colts must turn to Billy Joe Hobert. If James gets sidelined, it’ll be Lennox Gordon or Jim Finn to the rescue. Obviously, an injury to either player could be a disaster for Indy.

The Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens look unbeatable on paper with the addition of QB Elvis Grbac, rookie TE Todd Heap and ORT Leon Searcy, but everything really hinges on the health of RB Jamal Lewis.

Lewis, who had injury problems in college at Tennessee, stayed relatively healthy during his rookie year and ended up carrying the load for the Ravens as they steamrolled to the title. However, if he goes down, there isn’t much in reserve. Priest Holmes has departed to play a lead role in Kansas City, and all that’s left in Baltimore is rookie Chris Barnes, from New Mexico.

With Lewis, the Ravens are in position to repeat as champs. Without Lewis, repeating would be a tall order.

Philadelphia’s hopes for a deep playoff run this season hinge almost entirely on two players — RB Duce Staley and QB Donovan McNabb — one of whom is coming back from a career-threatening injury. Staley, who was emerging as one of the top runners in the NFL before suffering a season-ending foot injury, is a crucial component in giving the Eagles a balanced offensive attack.

The Eagles survived the loss of Staley, thanks to McNabb’s scrambling ability and a relatively easy schedule. But, coach Andy Reid knows that without Staley, the Eagles’ running game is subpar and can’t carry his team to the next level. Also, the more McNabb scrambles, the chance of injury increases.

Without Staley's and McNabb’s rushing totals, the Eagles ran for a less-than-stellar 909 yards on 232 carries (3.9 yards per carry) last season. If Staley goes down this season, the Eagles will have to turn to a rookie (Correll Buckhalter), a mediocre back (Darnell Autry) or an aging veteran (Brian Mitchell).

If McNabb gets sidelined by injury, the backup is the unproven Koy Detmer. And that’s not going to get it done against a tough schedule this season.

Finally, Dick Vermeil’s second comeback — this time to coach the Kansas City Chiefs — has already suffered a hit when his retooled offense lost up-and-coming WR Sylvester Morris to a knee injury.

TE Tony Gonzalez and QB Trent Green were going to be the main weapons for this offense anyway, but now, with Morris gone and with WR Derrick Alexander needing a receiving threat opposite him, the Chiefs could struggle.

Things could turn ugly if either Green (who already has gimpy knees) or Gonzalez were to suffer a season-ending injury. Green is backed up by old-timer Bubby Brister; Gonzalez is a terrific athlete who, if healthy, could catch 100 to 110 passes this season.

There is no one like Gonzalez in the league, so if he gets hurt, it takes away a huge piece of Kansas City’s attack and leaves the Chiefs without much hope of a postseason berth.

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