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Week Six fantasy football

Late-week fantasy tips

Friday, Oct. 19, 2001

This week’s bye team: Dallas, Oakland, Miami, San Franscisco, Seattle

AFC East

Indianapolis — Based upon the Week Three shellacking the Colts suffered at the hands of the Patriots, you might hesitate to start any Colts offensive players this week. … QB Peyton Manning has uncharacteristically struggled so far this year, tossing as many interceptions (9) as he has touchdowns. But, realistically, Manning has to rebound eventually, and this could be the week for him to do so. Manning will have something to prove against a Patriots defense that picked him off three times in Week Three and held him under 200 yards passing for just the second time in his past 15 regular-season games. … WR Jerome Pathon (foot) is expected to miss this game, which means some other receivers could get a bounty of fantasy production. Rookie Reggie Wayne should start in Pathon’s place, but he caught only one pass last week in that role. Instead, Terrence Wilkins seemed to benefit more from Pathon’s absence in the lineup. You might think of giving Wilkins a spot start if you need to fill a bye-week vacancy.

New England — Our advice to you is to give QB Tom Brady one or two more weeks, depending on the size of your league, before you jump on his bandwagon. While Brady has done a decent job in Drew Bledsoe’s place — and played downright well against a very good San Diego defense — Brady still isn’t a given as a fantasy producer. … The return of WR Terry Glenn certainly helped Brady and the Patriots last week, but Glenn hurt his hamstring in practice on Thursday. As of Friday morning, his status for Sunday didn’t look promising, which will pose a true test to the Patriots’ offense and Brady.

N.Y. Jets — If you had any doubts about RB Curtis Martin’s production this year in a new regime — with a prominent rookie backing him up and with the promise from the coaching staff that Martin would be used less to conserve his energy for the end of the season — you can put those doubts to rest. Martin leads the league in rushing yards and is tied for the league lead in touchdowns with Chargers RB LaDainian Tomlinson. This week against the Rams’ up-and-coming defense, don’t expect too much different from in past weeks. The only thing that could hurt Martin’s production is if the Jets get into a shootout with the Rams. … WR Laveranues Coles is improving rapidly and is on the way to a potentially great career. If you’re in a keeper league and he’s available, now is the time to sign him.

AFC Central

Baltimore — Baltimore RBs Terry Allen and steadily improving Jason Brookins go up against a Cleveland run defense that gave up 199 yards to Corey Dillon and the Bengals last Sunday and 102 yards to San Diego’s LaDainian Tomlinson the week before. … With Elvis Grbac coming back from a concussion suffered in the loss to Green Bay, the Ravens will probably go with a more grind-it-out attack. … WR Qadry Ismail has been quietly productive, with eight plays covering 20 or more yards, tied for second in the NFL. … Rookie TE Todd Heap (ankle) is expected to be back in the lineup. … The Ravens’ defense should have real fire in its eyes after being humbled by Brett Favre and the Packers last Sunday.

Cincinnati — With rookie WR Chad Johnson out for 6-8 weeks with a broken collarbone, Ron Dugans will be seeing more time as the team’s No. 3 wide receiver. … Even though he should still be considered a starter, RB Corey Dillon shouldn’t be expected to break his usual amount of tackles this week facing the Bears, who are fourth in the league in average gain per rush.

Cleveland Browns — The Browns are having a heck of a time running the ball of late. Despite that, head coach Butch Davis remains committed to keeping rookie RB James Jackson in the starting lineup. Jackson did have a 100-yard game earlier this season, but since then he has been troubled by sore ribs. Furthermore, season-ending injuries to OG Tré Johnson and TE Rickey Dudley have hurt Cleveland’s run blocking. It might be time to sit Jackson down, especially considering he’s facing the Ravens this week. … Look for WR Dennis Northcutt to get more opportunities in the passing game in the near future, if not this week. The team hasn’t gotten much out of rookie Quincy Morgan, who has been starting.

Pittsburgh — Don’t expect RB Jerome Bettis to have that much trouble against the Buccaneers’ staunch run defense. While this is the first really good defense the Steelers are facing this season, that hasn’t seemed to bother Bettis in the past. Bettis did well against some of the top defenses in the league last year, and seems to be even better this year with Amos Zereoue and Chris Fuamatu-Ma’afala spelling him when he gets tired.

Tennessee — With rookie WRs Justin McCareins (ankle, 6-8 weeks) and Eddie Berlin (shoulder, 2-3 weeks) out with injuries, rookie Drew Bennett becomes the Titans’ No. 3 wideout. Bennett, the last undrafted rookie signed by the Titans this offseason, was impressive last week, catching three passes for 39 yards. Bennett has good size (6-5, 203), and he’s earned some high praise from team observers. … WR Derrick Mason, who missed last week’s game with an ankle injury, should return to the starting lineup this week. … QB Steve McNair’s rushing touchdown last week was his first since Dec. 19, 1999 against Atlanta. He also gained 54 yards, and he could do some more running against a Lions defense that surrendered 83 rushing yards to Vikings QB Daunte Culpepper last week.

AFC West

Denver — Now could finally be the time to play WR Eddie Kennison, as he had a breakout game last week (six catches for 84 yards and his first TD), and the Broncos will be facing a Chargers secondary that has been victimized in the fourth quarter in back-to-back weeks, even surrendering 364 passing yards to Patriots QB Tom Brady. The Chargers’ defensive play-calling also will be handled by DB coach Mark Banker for the first time. … An MRI on QB Brian Griese’s throwing shoulder did not reveal any structural damage, and it appears as though he’s content to play through it until the pain subsides.

Kansas City — RB Priest Holmes, who had a big day last week vs. a respectable Steelers defense, will be facing the Cardinals’ 28th-ranked run defense. … As enticing as it may be to want to start one of the Chiefs’ wide receivers vs. Arizona, it may be best to hold off until some signs of life are visible from the passing game first. Chris Thomas will start this week in place of rookie Marvin Minnis, who has frustrated coaches with his poor route-running and occasional mental lapses.

NFC East

Arizona Cardinals — One of the things that made Jake Plummer so dangerous as a quarterback used to be his ability to run. He scared defenses because he could make things happen when he would take off. But he has only rushed six times for 27 yards this season — which isn’t going to scare anyone. Look for the Cardinals to call more rollouts, so he only has to see half the field and so he can run more easily. Will this make Plummer a viable fantasy starter? Probably not. But it is a situation that bears watching, as he could find more success and become more of a fantasy option later in the season.

New York Giants — Tiki Barber is finally expected to return to action this week against the Giants, which should help the Giants’ overall offensive fortunes. However, he probably won’t be getting the bulk of the carries. Look for Ron Dayne to continue to get most of the rushing work, with Barber getting an occasional carry and several passes thrown his way on third downs.

Philadelphia Eagles — This might be a good week to sit the Philly running backs. For one, Duce Staley returns to the lineup after missing several games with a shoulder injury. He is expected to start, but rookie Correll Buckhalter will still be a factor in the offense. It is not known how the carries will be divvied up, so until that is determined, you might get only partial production out of either one of them. Furthermore, they are facing a Giants’ team that is playing outstanding defense right now. … QB Donovan McNabb didn’t have great success vs. the Giants last year. He completed just 46.7 percent of his passes and was sacked 13 times.

Washington Redskins — It might be time to bench WR Michael Westbrook, despite the fact he caught a TD in Week Five vs. the Cowboys. The Redskins just aren’t throwing to him much. Rod Gardner has become QB Tony Banks’ go-to guy, although the rookie wideout isn’t doing much to excite fantasy owners. The Redskins have thrown only 26 passes in Westbrook’s direction this year, compared to 35 to Gardner. One of the reasons for this is Westbrook still isn’t running perfect routes, and with Banks not totally familiar with the offense, he needs his pass catchers to be where he expects them to be. … TE Stephen Alexander will miss at least two weeks with a high-ankle sprain, although the injury could keep him on the sideline longer.

NFC Central

Chicago — In his second year in the league, PK Paul Edinger appears to be coming into his own. He has the most field goals made between 40 and 49 yards (he’s 5-of-7), and he leads the NFC in average yards per made kick (40.3). Edinger probably won’t get the scoring chances of a Jose Cortez or John Carney, but when he gets the chances, he’ll usually deliver. Edinger’s field-goal percentage (.750) is higher than that of Green Bay’s Ryan Longwell (.700) and Tampa Bay’s Martin Gramatica (.667), both of whom were ranked higher than Edinger on most draft boards.

Detroit — With WR Herman Moore out for the year with a hip injury, Larry Foster is expected to take on the No. 3 spot on the depth chart. Foster’s biggest attribute is his speed, of which the Lions are in desperate need. And if you recall, Foster was the only Lions wideout last season to record a 100-yard game. … WR Germane Crowell is finally becoming a part of the offense again. He caught a career-high nine passes last week for 125 yards, his biggest output since Nov. 14, 1999. Another game like that could move him past Johnnie Morton on the Lions’ WR value chart.

Green Bay — In seasons past, the Packers have tried to pound the ball against the Vikings and control the clock to keep Minnesota’s high-octane offense off the field. That bodes well for RB Ahman Green, who hasn’t put up his usual yardage of late. Since posting back-to-back 100-yard games in Weeks One and Two, Green has averaged only 55.3 rushing yards. Meanwhile, the Vikings have allowed their last three opponents to break the 100-yard mark. In the Packers’ visit to Minnesota last season, Green rushed for 161 yards on 25 carries.

Minnesota — WR Randy Moss (ankle) took part in most of the Vikings’ Thursday practice and has been upgraded from questionable to probable for Sunday’s game. Said head coach Dennis Green: "I think it feels better. It felt better Tuesday and Wednesday, so hopefully it will continue. It was pretty stiff on Monday. With ankles it’s hard to tell, but hopefully that will be the case." … The news wasn’t so promising with RB Michael Bennett (ankle), who remains questionable. Doug Chapman and Travis Prentice handled most of the snaps in practice. Keep an eye on Prentice, who has the Vikings’ only rushing touchdown from a running back.

Tampa Bay — After gaining 24 yards on 17 carries last week, the Buccaneers are going to try to establish their running game early this week. Problem is, they’ll be doing so against the No. 1 defense in the league in the Steelers. That said, there is hope given Chiefs RB Priest Holmes’ production against Pittsburgh last week, when he gained 150 yards on 20 carries. Rest assured, the Bucs studied that game film closely. As for RB Warrick Dunn, who missed just one game after being expected to miss 3-4 with a foot injury, he practiced Friday and will retain his featured-back role.

NFC West

Atlanta — WR Tony Martin, who is normally QB Chris Chandler’s favorite target, remains out for one more game with a collarbone injury. … WR Shawn Jefferson (six catches for 74 yards vs, the Niners last Sunday), who is bothered by injuries to his left toe and ankle, has been upgraded from questionable to probable for the visit to New Orleans this Sunday. … WR Brian Finneran had his first pro TD last week and will be looking to get on a roll.

Carolina — Rookie QB Chris Weinke had an MRI on his hip and thigh earlier this week that revealed no serious damage from injuries suffered in the loss to the Saints last Sunday. He is listed as probable for the Redskins game. WR Muhsin Muhammad (calf) returned to practice Thursday and is also listed as probable. Muhammad has 21 catches and 317 total yards in his last three games vs. Washington. … TE Wesley Walls, who leads NFC tight ends with 22 catches, has a TD in three of his four games vs. the Redskins as a Panther. … RB Tshimanga Biakabutuka has 333 yards and four TDs vs. Washington. … WR Donald Hayes is an emerging force who made a beautiful TD catch last Sunday vs. the Saints.

New Orleans — The Saints’ passing attack could be their featured fantasy attraction this Sunday vs. a Falcons pass defense ranked last in the league. WR Joe Horn, who had his best game of the year so far last Sunday vs. Carolina with four catches for 78 yards, could be a definite big-time threat this Sunday. Last year at home vs. the Falcons, Horn had seven catches for 116 yards. The Saints hope TE Cam Cleeland (two TDs vs. Panthers) can continue to give their West Coast offense a consistent spark underneath. … RB Ricky Williams has 356 yards from scrimmage and two TDs the last two games, and there’s little reason to believe he won’t keep it up vs. a Falcons defense that has shown a real tendency to wear down late in games, when Williams is at his best. Last year in the game at Atlanta, Williams tied a club record with three TD runs.

St. Louis — While RB Marshall Faulk was listed as questionable on the NFL injury report at last check, it still seems quite likely that he will be rest his bruised knee this Sunday, with former first-round pick Trung Canidate getting a chance to strut his stuff in a starting role. With Faulk expected to be out of action, look for the Rams to go with a little more conventional attack. Canidate, however, will be going up against a Jets defense that has had trouble against the run all season. … While he failed to throw a TD pass last Sunday for only the third time in his career, QB Kurt Warner registered his 21st 300-yard passing game, breaking the team record he shared with Jim Everett.

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