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"In our opinion" daily fantasy football columns

Monday, Oct. 22, 2001

Week Six observations

Consider the circumstances before jumping on board an emerging player

By Steve Soucie, Contributing writer

It seemed that everywhere you looked on Sunday, you would be hit smack in the face with a young backup running back achieving great things.

But the most important thing to remember when evaluating these young players from a fantasy football perspective is that you have to take in their actual circumstances when deciding what their value should be.

St. Louis second-year man Trung Canidate definitely did look sensational on Sunday, but let’s be honest, as long as a healthy Marshall Faulk fits somewhere in the equation, Canidate’s opportunities will be limited.

Try not to fall for the hype. People will try to tell you how Canidate will be utilized in the same backfield as Faulk and such, but calling it like it is, Canidate can’t possibly be expected to generate huge offense on a week-to-week basis upon Faulk’s return.

Always remember this: As much fun as it is to have Rams in your lineup, keep in mind that Mike Martz loves to mix things up. No one Ram will regularly put up giant numbers, other than possibly Kurt Warner, who benefits from all of the toys, bells and whistles of the Rams’ offense. While Faulk usually gets his, so do Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce and Az Hakim.

Most times it seems as though the Rams might not have enough footballs to go around.

So what does this mean for Canidate? Well, he’ll be a great option if Faulk is sidelined. But if he isn’t, remember that Faulk is the man in St. Louis. Don’t overestimate Canidate's value on one great performance, especially if he doesn’t have many more chances to shine.

Another situation that has cropped up recently is that of Seattle’s Shaun Alexander. He’s been phenomenal while filling in for Ricky Watters. But Mike Holmgren has pledged allegiance to Watters upon his return.

Alexander could probably run for 300 yards a game until Watters returns, but it won’t matter much when he’s delegated to the sideline. I’m not saying that’s the right answer; I’m just saying that’s the answer that Seattle’s come up with.

No matter how much I think Alexander should play over Watters, it makes no difference as to what will actually happen. Just as I have a preference in the various RB duels around the league, so do the coaches. And they are the ones who matter. Always remember to separate your appreciation for a player from his actual opportunity. Failing to do so can be extraordinarily costly.

However, there is a flip side to this argument. You can also fail to recognize a developing situation of increased, consistent playing time and get caught on the outside looking in. In Chicago, Anthony Thomas will become the team’s featured runner as early as this week.

He’s better than James Allen, and it was only a matter of time before that fact was made abundantly clear to everyone involved in the situation. Now, the astute saw this situation developing before he ran for 188 yards on Sunday and made strides to acquire him. Others have waited too long.

I like Thomas, but I am also proceeding with caution. Thomas had a breakout showing against a defense that has been hammered by nearly every rushing attack in the NFL over the past few seasons. I do think Thomas will be fine, but don’t count on 100-yard-plus games on a regular basis.

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