Click here to stay in the archives
Click here to go back to ProFootballWeekly.com

Kickoff 2000 overview

High expectations

Forecast  calls for  Colts  beating  Bucs  for title

By Keith Schleiden, Managing editor
As published in print Aug. 21, 2000

Shaun King
Bucs QB
Shaun King

On Jan. 14, 1996, the Indianapolis Colts found themselves in unfamiliar territory. After years of mediocrity, the Colts were playing in the AFC championship game against the Steelers.

Trailing by four, with just five seconds left in one team’s season, QB Jim Harbaugh launched a Hail Mary pass in the general direction of WRs Floyd Turner and Aaron Bailey.

As the crowd at Three Rivers Stadium stood, nervously awaiting the outcome of the play, the ball was tipped and rolled across Bailey’s chest, down his arm and onto the endzone turf.

No catch. No Super Bowl for the Colts.

That is the closest the Colts have come to a Super Bowl since losing to the Dolphins in the AFC title game following the 1971 season. The year before that, the Colts won Super Bowl V, the only Roman-numeraled game in which they’ve appeared.

Well, almost five years since Bailey’s near miss — if Pro Football Weekly’s esteemed panel of football writers is on the money — the Colts are headed back to the AFC championship game. And this time, they will walk away much happier.

Of the 37 panelists polled, 22 said the Colts will be the AFC champions of the 2000 season. Apparently, the voters were impressed with the Colts’ 1999 regular-season record of 13-3 and their roster full of young talent.

As for the NFC, PFW’s panel says the conference will be represented by the Buccaneers, who would become the first team to compete in a Super Bowl played in their home stadium.

However, a boisterous home crowd won’t be enough to put Warren Sapp, Warrick Dunn & Co. over the top. The Colts get the edge and are our pick to win the game. In the vote for the Super Bowl XXXV winner, Indianapolis drew 14 tallies compared to Tampa Bay’s seven.

The Colts boast one of the most explosive offenses in the league, thanks in large part to QB Peyton Manning, RB Edgerrin James and WR Marvin Harrison. Those three, along with their supporting cast, combined for the third-highest scoring offense in the NFL last season.

Manning gets the nod as the most important member of the trio. Our panel predicts, by an overwhelming majority, that he will be the league’s Offensive MVP.

On the flip side, defense is the Buccaneers’ strength. It allowed only 235 points last season — an average of 14.7 points per game — which was third best in the league. Leading the defensive charge is Sapp, who is pegged by the voters to win defensive MVP honors.

The voting for Defensive MVP was fairly close, with Sapp receiving 15 votes compared to runner-up Jevon Kearse’s 13. St. Louis DE Kevin Carter and Buccaneer LB Derrick Brooks each received four votes, while Eagles S Brian Dawkins received one.

In the offensive voting, Manning was the overwhelming winner. He received 18-of-37 votes. His closest competitors were James and Titans RB Eddie George, each of whom received four votes. Packers QB Brett Favre and Rams QB Kurt Warner each received two votes, while seven other players got one vote apiece.

In the AFC race, the Titans drew a fair amount of support, finishing second in the voting with 11 of the 37 votes. The Jaguars, Bills, Broncos and Seahawks each got one vote as conference champion.

The NFC should be a little tighter, according to our panel. The Buccaneers edged the Rams (10) by just seven votes. The free-spending Redskins garnered seven votes to win the conference, while the Packers were picked by two and the Panthers one.

In the division races, only one team — Indianapolis — was the unanimous pick to win its division. All 37 panelists say Indianapolis is king of the AFC East.

The Rams came very close to being the unanimous pick to win the NFC West, but one voter said the Panthers would prevail.

The Redskins, who have been the talk of the offseason for all of their high-profile transactions, were two votes away from being the unanimous pick to win the NFC East.

At the other end of the spectrum, no team was a unanimous choice to finish in the basement of its division — although the 49ers came pretty close. San Francisco, in the midst of a rebuilding process spurred by salary-cap issues, was forecast to finish in fifth place by all but three voters.

On to 2000 predictions

vertical_bar.gif (672 bytes)

The Archives
2000 - 2001 Season

Online writers — features and columns by our PFW staff, columnists, AFC reporters, NFC reporters and contributing writers
College football — articles, college notepad, key college game previews, PFW's college top 10
Fantasy football — articles, injury reports, weekly fantasy tips, weekly matchups, The Fantasy Doctor, mock drafts, draft boards, "In our opinion" daily fantasy columns
Free-agency
General features — Internet features, features from our print edition, Hall of Fame features, team reports, training camp reports
Handicapper's Corner — staff selections, games of the week, PFW Players of the Week, NFL standings, weekly handicapping columns, predictions
"A closer look" — in-depth analysis of general football topics
"In our opinion" daily columns — opinions on general football topics
"PFW spins" — short-takes on current events
Joel Buchsbaum — college player evaluations, NFL player analysis, NFL draft coverage, NFL notepad, NFList, college game previews and other NFL articles by PFW's contributing editor
NFL Draft — player evaluations, printouts, feature stories, commentaries, draft recaps
Ron Pollack — articles and commentary by PFW's editor-in-chief
Season in review  — the 2000-2001 NFL season
XFL — the inaugural year

 

Thanks for visiting Pro Football Weekly's Archives at archive.profootballweekly.com

Click here to go to ProFootballWeekly.com Click here to return to our main site
ProFootballWeekly.com

© 1998-2002 by Pro Football Weekly, a Primedia publication. All rights reserved. Reproduction without permission is prohibited.