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Two for the money

Among DL free agents, Porcher, Smith have the right stuff

By Ron Pollack, Editor-in-chief
As published in print Nov. 29, 1999

Robert Porcher
Lions DE
Robert Porcher

Editor's note: The following column was taken from our seven-page preview of the 2000 free-agent class. For team-by-team and position-by-position lists of the prospective free agents come March, as well as our forecast of every club’s strategy in free agency, get a copy of the print edition of Pro Football Weekly at a local newsstand or subscribe now.

Let the buyer beware. That thought keeps exploding in my head like fireworks on the Fourth of July as I ponder the free-agent class of 2000. It is a class that is dominated by defensive linemen. This should warm the hearts of NFL general managers and head coaches, because defensive linemen are to the NFL what starting pitching is to major-league baseball — almost no one ever has enough on their roster.

At the same time, though, I suspect these NFL general managers and head coaches will spend a lot of time tossing and turning in their sleep in the offseason to come when they contemplate going after free-agent defensive linemen.

"Look at all the top defensive linemen that are having career years this year, and almost all of them are free agents," says an NFL insider.

Meaning?

"These guys have ability, but they’ve always been underachievers, and they’re turning it on because they’re in a contract year," says the insider.

Meaning?

NFL teams better keep their wallets in their front pocket. If I’m going to pay a guy like a superstar, he’d better have a lengthy list of major NFL accomplishments on his résumé. Contract-drive stars are too much of a threat to pull a disappearing act with their new team that only David Copperfield could explain.

As I see it, an NFL team can only make a break-the-bank free-agent signing every once in a while. At $6 million a season, the word "risk" shouldn’t be able to get through the door without a gun and a ski mask.

It’s like receiving a big inheritance. It doesn’t happen every day. You can take your inheritance to Las Vegas and let it ride at the craps table if you want, but I’d rather get advice from a savvy, trusted family member or an investment counselor with impeccable references and then invest the money wisely.

Tying salary-cap fortunes to a player who has had wild fluctuations in production that include a through-the-roof season during a contract drive has a come-on-lucky-seven-daddy-needs-a-new-pair-of-shoes feel to it to me. High risk, high return. You might strike it rich, but I’m not willing to chance going home with nothing but a sob story.

Speaking about free agency in general, Chiefs president/GM/CEO Carl Peterson says, "We are always concerned about players who have only one good, productive season, and that is the season preceding them becoming a free agent. We are also looking at the history of the player’s entire career. Is he ascending, plateauing or descending? Has he shown a consistency of fine play? We will probably not be interested in a free agent with a history of only one year of above-average, productive play."

The season after an up-and-down player signs a huge, new contract can often resemble a New Year’s party hangover the morning of Jan. 1. It’s called too much of a good thing. It’s called complacency.

"Some people stay hungry, and some people, I think, get a little passive," Jaguars LB Kevin Hardy says.

There is no hard-and-fast rule for determining who will fit into which category, but it seems to me that an up-and-down player who waits until his contract drive to shift into overdrive is more likely to get fat and content when he hits the mother lode than he is to stay hungry. Yet you can’t rule out the possibility that the light bulb finally has gone on for good as maturity arrives.

It’s enough to put NFL decision-makers in the loony bin.

Let’s consider some of the DL stars of the upcoming free-agency class.

Cardinals DE Simeon Rice figures to be the biggest fish in the ocean. He is enjoying a monster season, having turned it up two notches with free agency beckoning. Is this a case of him hitting his stride in his fourth pro season, a time when players have a history of starting to peak? Or should potential suitors be concerned about his reputation before his contract drive, when he was viewed as a bit of an underachiever who just played the pass and wasn’t a real team guy?

If it’s the former, a team will be signing the game’s next superstar defensive end. If it’s the latter, it will be destroying its salary cap for years to come.

Chargers DT Norman Hand went from an overweight underachiever to a near Pro Bowl-caliber performer last season. Once he signs a fat new contract, will he continue to unleash his hunger on the field instead of at the dinner table?

Jaguars DE Tony Brackens is having a huge season because he is finally staying healthy. In past years he’d get off to a good start only to get hurt and disappear. Were the injuries of the past the fluke, or is this season’s good health the aberration?

Seahawks DT Sam Adams is having a big year, displaying the ability to take over a game at times and make the spectacular play, but before this season he was viewed as an underachiever who would sometimes coast. Which player do you get if he puts his name on the dotted line?

These players have enormous upsides. They also bring enormous risk. In this age of the salary cap, teams simply cannot afford to pay huge salaries for defensive linemen who turn out to be busts. They take up too big a piece of the pie for a team to be a championship contender if they do not deliver.

Does this mean they should be avoided at all costs? Of course not. Talent is a valuable commodity in the NFL. What it means is that if you sign them, you’d better be right about them.

Personally, I think there’s a better way to go this offseason in the free-agent market for teams in search of defensive linemen. Their names are Robert Porcher and Chuck Smith. I thought of these two defensive linemen recently when I was talking to Ravens offensive coordinator Matt Cavanaugh about what he looks for when considering players via free agency.

"If they show you that they really love to play the game, then you know the money is not going to change them," Cavanaugh says. "If there’s any hesitancy in how much the game means to them and how much time they’re willing to devote to practice and studying, then you’ve got a problem."

This doesn’t mean you only look for hard workers. You can’t win without talent in the NFL. Besides talent, Porcher and Smith have the love of the game, the pride, the desire that Cavanaugh refers to. The light bulb went on for Porcher several seasons ago, when he became a driven, hard worker who craves consistency from his game. He is well on his way to his fourth consecutive double-digit sack season. Smith has the heart of a champion despite being undersized. Both men play both the run and the pass, another sign that they are not simply playing for the big payday down the road.

The down side for Porcher and Smith is that they are 30 and 29 years old, respectively. That’s not ancient, but age will start to creep in by the latter portion of the contracts they will sign this offseason. Rice (25), Brackens (24), Hand (27) and Adams (26) have more gas left in the tank. The younger quartet may have more upside, but then again, so did Ryan Leaf when the Colts faced a Draft Day decision between him and Peyton Manning. I’m not saying Rice, Brackens, Hand and Adams are a bunch of ninnies like Leaf. I am saying, though, that with Porcher and Smith, you have a much greater sense of what you are getting, much as the Colts had when they chose Manning.

Teams cannot afford to get the DL decision wrong. Passion for the game, consistency and health are the questions. Porcher and Smith are the safest answers.

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