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"In our opinion" daily columns

Wednesday, April 26, 2000

The future is now

QB class of ’99 is ready to pay dividends

By Ron Pollack, Editor-in-chief

The alarmists always like to howl that the sky is falling when it comes to quarterbacks.

There aren’t enough of them, they wail. When the aging elite retire, there won’t be anyone to take their place, they moan.

Phooey.

John Elway and Dan Marino may have traded in a football for a 9-iron, but the NFL will manage just fine. It always does.

Now in particular, I think the league is positioned to deal with a changing of the guard. Thanks to the wonderful QB class of ’99, the answer to the league’s prayers are about to come true.

The 1999 draft had a smorgasbord of delights for teams in need of a quarterback.

Tim Couch, Donovan McNabb, Akili Smith, Daunte Culpepper and Cade McNown all went in the first round. Shaun King was selected in the second round.

All have shed the training wheels that go with being a rookie and are ready for their second seasons as pros. Naturally there will be a learning curve. Naturally there will be some painful moments. That said, all of them have reason for optimism.

Let’s take a closer look at this six-pack of young quarterbacks (in order drafted).

Tim Couch

What I know: The Browns improved under Couch last season. He has good accuracy as a thrower and good tools as an athlete.

What I think of his friends: The Browns still do not have their long-term answer in place at running back. The team is developing a nice corps of wide receivers, but I don’t think they have their No. 1 threat on the roster as yet. For all the resources the Browns put into their offensive line last season, it wasn’t anything to get excited about.

What I predict: Couch will continue to improve in 2000, but it may be baby steps instead of giant steps because of the lack of talent around him. Over the long haul I think he will be a star if he can survive the beating he figures to endure while waiting to be surrounded by better players. I say he’ll do just that in time. There are those who say Couch may not be another Peyton Manning, but I would counter that very few quarterbacks are. Look for him to develop into a star one notch below the Manning level.

Donovan McNabb

What I know: Great athlete, great competitor, great leader. He can frustrate the opponent with both his arm and legs. He improved during his rookie season.

What I think of his friends: RB Duce Staley may not be the most exciting runner in the league, but he is very productive, strong, aggressive and breaks a lot of tackles. WR Todd Pinkston was a nice addition in the second round of this year’s draft, but the receiving corps leaves a lot to be desired. McNabb needs more help in the pass-catching department. The Eagles have a solid offensive line, especially at the OT spots where they will line up Jon Runyan and Tra Thomas.

What I predict: McNabb’s athletic ability will allow him to make some exciting plays, and he should be somewhat improved over last year, but the lack of firepower at receiver will cause him to struggle a fair amount this season. The team’s ability to get him more quality targets will go a long way toward determining how good McNabb becomes during his career.

Akili Smith

What I know: Smith has outstanding tools. You name it, he has it — size, speed, atheletic ability and a rifle for an arm.

What I think of his friends: Even if Carl Pickens is sent packing, Smith has a terrific group of wideouts to throw to. Peter Warrick should be a star. Darnay Scott is coming off a 68-catch, 1,022-yard season, and he possesses excellent size, speed and jumping ability. If the Bengals come to their senses and give RB Corey Dillon the money he is worth, Smith will be golden. Dillon is a star-caliber player now who could become a superstar. The offensive line is slightly better than ordinary.

What I predict: If the Bengals sign Dillon, Smith can’t help but eventually become a star. Add Dillon to Warrick and Scott, and Smith will have amazing skill-position talent to work with. If Dillon holds out for the bulk of the season, though, Smith could struggle in 2000 since the running game will not scare anyone with the Bengals’ other backs carrying the ball.

Daunte Culpepper

What I know: Almost nothing. The guy didn’t throw a pass during the regular season last year. Culpepper has unusual size for a quarterback, athleticism and arm strength, but word is that he was not ready for prime time last year.

What I think of his friends: Any young quarterback who gets to throw to Randy Moss and Cris Carter and hand the ball off to Robert Smith is the luckiest guy on earth. The offensive line took some hits in free agency.

What I predict: If Randall Cunningham could set the league on fire a couple of seasons ago, we shouldn’t dismiss Culpepper. I suspect that he still is not ready for this assignment, but playing in a QB-friendly system and throwing to the likes of Moss and Carter will allow him to make a lot of plays. I suspect he will have some weeks when he really struggles and others when his weapons make him look sensational.

Cade McNown

What I know: He has terrific intangibles, tons of confidence and is playing in Gary Crowton’s wide-open passing attack.

What I think of his friends: The jury is still out on RB Curtis Enis. This is a make-or-break year for Enis who was viewed as a franchise back coming out of college. If Enis can shake off the aftereffects of his rookie-season knee injury, the Bears’ offense can really catch fire. If he doesn’t become a star this season, I wouldn’t be surprised if another hot-shot running back is brought in for the 2001 campaign. The Bears have more quality wide receivers than Santa Claus has hard-working elves. Marcus Robinson became a star last season. Bobby Engram is steady and productive. Eddie Kennison has blazing speed. Marty Booker and D’Wayne Bates are young players to keep an eye on. The offensive line is solid.

What I predict: If McNown is the starter all season, he could have a big season, given Crowton’s system and all of the quality receivers. If Enis becomes an above-average back, McNown could really do some exciting things. All of that said, there is no guarantee that McNown will be the yearlong starter with Jim Miller lurking. Miller may not have a great pedigree, but he posted some huge numbers when he played last season.

Shaun King

What I know: He may not have ideal size for a quarterback or a cannon for an arm, but he has all the intangibles, poise and leadership qualities that the Buccaneers are looking for.

What I think of his friends: King may be in the best situation you’ll ever see for a young quarterback. All he has to do is avoid mistakes. He benefits from playing on a team with a dominant defense. On an offense that does not have to do a lot to win games, King now gets to throw to superstar Keyshawn Johnson. Mike Alstott and Warrick are better-than-capable running backs. The offensive line is not going to win games on its own, but it was upgraded during the offseason.

What I predict: King won’t post huge numbers, but he’ll do exactly what he is asked: Get the ball to Keyshawn and don’t lose games.

Bonus analysis: Brock Huard

What I know: I don’t include Huard with the previous six quarterbacks, because I don’t think Huard will be the starter for the Seahawks in 2000. I think Jon Kitna will be the guy, and I think he’ll do just fine. Nonetheless, Kitna struggled down the stretch last season, and if he falters this year, Huard could get a look. Huard has a terrific arm, and the Seahawks are said to have eliminated the problems in mechanics he developed his final season in college.

What I think of his friends: If Huard becomes the starter, head coach Mike Holmgren will be his best friend. Holmgren is a star-maker at the QB position. Whoever starts at quarterback will have a great ground game with veteran Ricky Watters and rookie Shaun Alexander on the roster. The receivers will post solid numbers, but that is more because of Holmgren’s system than any star power on their part. The offensive line is decent overall but very strong on the left side with OLT Walter Jones and OLG Pete Kendall.

What I predict: Kitna will hold on to his starting job, and Huard will ride the bench.

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