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"In our opinion" daily columns

Friday, April 14, 2000

Let the games begin — for real

But first, a few more D-Day predictions

By Dan Arkush, Executive editor

Finally.

About noon ET on Saturday, April 15, they’ll be hitting the beach for real.

Rumors with varying degrees of substance will continue to bombard the NFL landscape like those machine-gun bullets in the opening battle scene of "Saving Private Ryan."

And one by one, they will either be substantiated or quickly dismissed by NFL commissioner Paul Tagliabue, as he officially introduces pro football’s newest rookie crop to a national audience that appears to be more intrigued than usual by the league’s annual April extravaganza.

Yeah, D-Day 2000 figures to be a lot of fun — in great part due to all the behind-the-scenes wheeling and dealing that has transpired the last few months.

It really started getting interesting back in late February in Indianapolis, where Daniel Snyder, the Redskins’ high-energy owner, juiced up a rather bland NFL Scouting Combine with the news that Washington had traded up to acquire the 49ers’ second overall spot in the draft.

In an instant, Washington had secured the second and third picks in this year’s draft. Initially, most people in the know figured the Skins wouldn’t hesitate to select Penn State defensive dynamos Courtney Brown and LaVar Arrington with those picks.

Right after the Browns made Florida State’s Peter Warrick the third wideout in league history to be selected with the draft’s No. 1 overall pick, of course.

By mid-March, though, that scenario changed when Brown and Arrington turned in sterling performances in private workouts at the Penn State campus on the same day Warrick slipped up a tad in a private workout on the Florida State campus.

In an instant, Warrick was no longer the Browns’ no-brainer No. 1 pick, having been replaced in the eyes of most experts by either Brown or Arrington.

Now, while most draftniks are automatically assuming Warrick will be the first wide receiver taken Saturday (with the Bengals’ No. 4 pick), recent history suggests the experts just might be thrown for a big-time loop.

Will the penny-pinching Bengals be able to sign Warrick? Or might they opt for someone else who suddenly bursts through the high-round woodwork the same way RB Edgerrin James catapulted over Heisman Trophy hotshot Ricky Williams last year?

Someone, maybe, such as Florida WR Travis Taylor, whose stock has quietly skyrocketed behind the scenes?

Am I saying that’s going to happen? While I think it would be a grave mistake to bypass Warrick — who I feel is the best pure offensive talent by far in this year’s draft, regardless of his size-speed ratio — I’m certainly not ruling it out.

Nor am I ruling out the following:

square.gif (826 bytes) Before Saturday runs its course, look for as many as two high-profile players with either franchise or transition tags to be traded. That doesn’t include Bengals RB Corey Dillon, a restricted free agent who definitely seems to have worn out his welcome in Cincy. It does include Jacksonville DE Tony Brackens, Arizona DE Simeon Rice, Detroit DE Robert Porcher and perhaps even Washington RB Stephen Davis, despite the claims of his agent, Steve Weinberg, that Snyder is determined to reward Davis with the megamillion-dollar contract he so richly deserves.

square.gif (826 bytes) Before Saturday runs its course, Florida State’s Sebastian Janikowski will be the first kicker since Russell Erxleben to be selected in the first round — either by the Rams with the 31st pick or the Bears, who will trade into one of the last five spots in the first round to nab him. I know this flies in the face of the standard belief that you just don’t pay so high a price for a lowly kicker. But I also know that with parity leveling the playing field the way it has, a kicker such as Janikowski could make the difference between victory and defeat in 3-4 games. Convention be damned.

square.gif (826 bytes) Before Saturday runs its course, wily Bill Parcells will definitely have used at least one of those record four first-round picks the Jets have obtained to acquire a proven NFL talent (Rice maybe?). While youth certainly springs eternal, Parcells and the Jets badly need some veteran firepower and leadership to replace what Keyshawn Johnson brought to the table.

I believe a lot more strange and wonderful things could happen, but my brain is starting to short-circuit.

So with no apologies whatsoever to the aforementioned Keyshawn …
just give me the damn draft.

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