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Week 16 fantasy football

Late-week fantasy tips

Friday, Dec. 15, 2000

This week’s bye team: Philadelphia

AFC East

Indianapolis — WR-RS Terrence Wilkins may be worth a look if your WR corps is hurting at playoff time. After slipping into the shadows for much of the year, Wilkins appeared to break out vs. the Bills on Monday night with several big plays both receiving and returning. Versatile TE Marcus Pollard, however, has been somewhat of a disappointment in terms of numbers this season and hasn’t caught more than three passes in any game this season.

New England — The offensive line is playing so poorly right now it’s probably not even worth it to play RBs J.R. Redmond or Kevin Faulk unless you have absolutely no other choice. Both have been hampered by injuries (and Faulk by fumbles), and there simply haven’t been any holes to run through in recent weeks.

N.Y. Jets — Even though he’s still experiencing some soreness from the groin injury suffered in the first half of last Sunday night’s loss to Oakland, QB Vinny Testaverde is ready and raring to go vs. Detroit at home. Same goes for RB Curtis Martin, who will be looking to bounce back from the worst rushing performance of his career (17 carries for 11 yards) vs. Detroit’s 24th-ranked run defense. … WR Laveranues Coles (knee) is listed as probable, and he could be a factor vs. a Lions secondary missing CB Bryant Westbrook

AFC Central

Baltimore — Once again, the Ravens’ defense looks like the best fantasy "D" on the board. It would love to tie the Steelers’ league record of five shutouts in a season vs. an Arizona club that could be easy pickings. And it has also been one of the best defenses in terms of takeaways. … RB Jamal Lewis could have a good day vs. a weak Arizona defense ranked 30th.

Cleveland — Avoid playing all Browns players this week vs. the Titans. Despite getting the ball off of seven turnovers in the first meeting vs. the Titans, the Browns’ offense was totally inept against Tennessee. The Browns managed just five first downs in the whole game and racked up only 125 total yards on offense.

Jacksonville — Even though RB Fred Taylor missed practice time this week with a deep bruise on his left leg, you can count on him playing this week. Not only will Taylor be looking to get his ninth 100-yard rushing game in a row, but he wants to prove to the organization that he is not injury-prone. He is seeking to renegotiate his contract in the offseason and doesn’t want his past injury problems to be a major stumbling block. However, the Jaguars are traveling to Cincinnati, which features the worst turf in the NFL. Big clumps of turf come up when a player plants, so this field may not be suited for Taylor’s cutback running style.

Pittsburgh — If you have the Steelers’ defense on your roster, you are probably aware that the unit has really fallen off in recent weeks. They had two shutouts earlier in the year and looked like a must play every week. However, that is no longer the case. In fact, you probably should be going with an alternate defense down the stretch. The Steelers have allowed at least 20 points in each of their last six games and have given up 30 twice in that span. The Steelers are facing an angry Redskins offense this week.

Tennessee — Derrick Mason and Chris Sanders likely will be affected by the returns of Yancey Thigpen and Carl Pickens. The latter two receivers are coming off impressive showings last week vs. Cincinnati, with Thigpen hauling in a 56-yard TD pass. If they continue to improve, Sanders’ playing time will dramatically decrease, and Mason will see more action in the slot. However, not all is lost for Mason. If Thigpen and Sanders draw attention on the outside, the middle could open up for Mason, who’s had a knack for making things happen this season. … RB Eddie George, who reinjured his toe in the Bengals game, should be ready to go Sunday vs. Cleveland, against whom he’s scored seven touchdowns in three games. However, like last week, the Titans probably will pull some starters if they have a big lead late in the game.

AFC West

Denver — It wouldn’t be a bad idea to go ahead and start QB Gus Frerotte this week vs. a Chiefs defense that has been taken advantage of at times since midseason. However, if your fantasy league extends into Week 17, Brian Griese should be back at the helm. He’s been throwing with more velocity at practices and impressed the team with his sharpness.

Kansas City — RB Tony Richardson will be the primary back again this week, with Kimble Anders making the move to fullback to replace Donnell Bennett, who is out for the rest of the year with injury. The Chiefs would like to see if Richardson could be the team’s featured back and handle the majority of the carries next year.

Oakland — RB Napoleon Kaufman has been bothered all week by an injured shin and probably won’t play on Sunday. RB Zack Crockett will fill in for FB Jon Ritchie, who also is expected to miss Sunday. Starting RB Tyrone Wheatley rushed for 156 yards and a touchdown on just 15 carries in the Raiders’ first meeting with the Seahawks this year.

Seattle — Those of you who are waiting for rookie RB Shaun Alexander to emerge and get some more playing time may have to wait a bit longer. It seems there is speculation every week that head coach Mike Holmgren will find ways to get Alexander more playing time with the Seahawks out of the playoff race, but each week, injured toe and all, Ricky Watters successfully carries the brunt of the load for the offense.

NFC East

Arizona — Avoid going with either of the Cardinals’ top two quarterbacks this week. Jake Plummer (ribs) and Dave Brown (finger) both missed plenty of practice time during the week due to injuries. In fact, the team has considered starting No. 3 QB Chris Greisen, who has attempted all of 10 passes in his NFL career. That may not bode well for WR David Boston, who is enjoying a breakout season. However, Plummer reportedly had a strong practice on Thursday and could be in the mix to start. Still, the Cardinals are playing a strong Ravens defense that could shut out a weak Arizona offense.

Dallas — With QB Troy Aikman on the bench this week, and possibly the rest of the season, young Anthony Wright will get to start. While Wright may not be a strong fantasy player, RB Emmitt Smith is definitely a good guy to have in your lineup. With Wright under center, the Cowboys will rely on Smith more than usual — as they did last week, when the runner racked up 150 rushing yards.

New York Giants — While Amani Toomer and Ike Hilliard are the top two WR threats on the Giants, you may want to take a flier on rookie Ron Dixon if you are in dire need of an extra receiver on your roster. Dixon will be the Giants’ No. 3 receiver because Joe Jurevicius is out 3-4 weeks with a knee injury. Dixon, who is inexperienced but speedy and shifty, has added incentive to do well while Jurevicius is out. Dixon was suspended for last week’s game because he missed a team meeting, and he desperately wants out of head coach Jim Fassel’s doghouse.

Philadelphia — The Eagles are on bye this week.

Washington — Think twice about starting WR Albert Connell this week. He may not see as much action as usual, as interim head coach Terry Robiskie has benched the receiver. Connell was held catchless vs. the Cowboys last week.

NFC Central

Chicago — RB James Allen isn’t a bad play in emergency situations given the Bears’ newfound commitment to the running game. With pass-happy coordinator Gary Crowton now at Brigham Young, QB coach John Shoop has taken over the coordinator duties and made some significant changes. First, he set out to give the offense more balance, as evidenced by Allen’s 37 carries last week vs. New England. Then, Shoop removed the read-and-react routes from the game plan and had the receivers simply run the routes that were called. It worked well for Eddie Kennison, who had eight catches for 100 yards and a touchdown. Kennison may not be a bad play either, especially considering he’s the No. 1 receiver with Bobby Engram and Marcus Robinson injured.

Green Bay — Is RB Ahman Green worthy of keeping for next season? That’s a question some keeper-leaguers may have to contend with. Consider: Green has been very productive since taking over for an injured Dorsey Levens in Week 10. Since then, Green has rushed 122 times for 534 yards (4.4-yard average) and five touchdowns. He’s also caught 32 passes for 185 yards and two touchdowns. In fact, Green could become the first Packers running back to lead the team in receptions since 1977. What does it all mean for next season? Well, the Packers may opt to split carries between Green and Levens next season, much as they did with Edgar Bennett and Levens several years ago. There is little chance the Packers will emphasize the injury-prone Levens the way they have the in the past, so don’t be surprised if they divvy up the carries next season.

Minnesota — TE Johnny McWilliams has come on of late, and he may be worthy of an emergency starting spot. Last week vs. St. Louis, McWilliams caught five passes for 53 yards and one touchdown, on which he flat-out beat the middle linebacker down the middle of the field. McWilliams is a pass-catching tight end, and he did haul in four TD passes with the Cardinals in 1998. Furthermore, the Vikings’ Nos. 3 and 4 wideouts, Matthew Hatchette and Chris Walsh, are both nursing injuries. That could force the Vikings to use more two-TE sets, thus increasing McWilliams’ playing time.

Tampa Bay — The Buccaneers believe injured FB Mike Alstott might be able to play Monday night vs. the Rams. Head coach Tony Dungy said Alstott is doing well, and Alstott said on his weekly radio show, "I’m back. I had a bad injury, but it could have been worse. I healed awfully quick, and I’m excited. It’s been tearing me up." Alstott credited his strong leg muscles and offseason workout for his speedy recovery. But this question remains: What will his role be with Warrick Dunn emerging as the featured back? If Alstott does play, he probably won’t see much playing time because he’s been out so long. But that doesn’t mean his workload won’t increase in Week 17. We have to believe Dunn will continue to carry the load, but a healthy Alstott will take some carries away.

NFC West

Atlanta — The only possible favorable fantasy thing to say on behalf of the Falcons is that they are well-rested coming off a bye. But their weak offense, thrust in the hands of rookie Doug Johnson, is up against one of the league’s stingiest defenses in New Orleans’. RB Jamal Anderson might get an assist if Saints DT Norman Hand is still at less-than-full strength. Really, though, you’re better off avoiding Atlanta for fantasy purposes.

Carolina— After missing four games with a big-toe injury, RB Tshimanga Biakabutuka has put two full days of practice in and looks as though he will be able to play this Sunday vs. San Diego. He’s expected to split time, however, with Brad Hoover, who is coming off a weak outing. FB William Floyd (ribs) remains out and will probably stay out the rest of the season.

New Orleans — After getting off to a slow start, RB Terry Allen got his act together nicely in the second half of the Saints’ big win on the road over San Francisco last Sunday. He starts again this week against the woeful Falcons. Both he and RB Chad Morton, who has shown some explosiveness out of the backfield as both a rusher and receiver, could be in store for some decent fantasy production. The same definitely goes for QB Aaron Brooks, who didn’t throw real well last week but rushed for over 100 yards and has emerged as a solid fantasy force.

St. Louis — RB Marshall Faulk, whose knee injury forced him to miss two games this season, was held out of practice yesterday as a precautionary measure. But he is expected to be ready to go full tilt in the huge Monday-night game vs. Tampa Bay. Taking into account the Rams’ weak offensive effort the last time they faced the Bucs (in last year’s NFC championship), you might want to think twice about Rams fantasy players this week.

San Francisco — Look for WR Jerry Rice to rise to the occasion vs. the Bears this Sunday in a game that is now officially being played in his honor. QB Jeff Garcia, who has been the biggest fantasy surprise this season, also would love to continue excelling and finish off a great season on a bright note.

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