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Week 15 fantasy football

Late-week fantasy tips

Friday, Dec. 8, 2000

This week’s bye team: Atlanta

AFC East

Buffalo — RB Sammy Morris said he’s ready to play on Monday night against the Colts. Look for him to have a good day against a very poor Colts’ run defense. Until the Bills get some of their injured starters back on defense, you’d be better served to avoid starting the unit if at all possible.

Indianapolis — Marvin Harrison seems to be emerging from a slump slowly, and could break out this week against the banged-up Bills. Harrison hasn’t broken 100 yards receiving lately, but has found the endzone on several occasions.

Miami — WR Tony Martin will get the start in Miami in place of Leslie Shepherd, who was injured last week. Most Dolphins’ observers think this will be Martin’s chance to redeem his disappointing season so far and prove that he is still worth the big money he is making with the Dolphins. He’s facing a tough Tampa Bay defense though, and the focus of the offensive attack will likely be on Lamar Smith running the football.

New England — QB Drew Bledsoe had his best game of the year last week and could match that production this week against a young Bears defense that has several holes. RB J.R. Redmond is giving fantasy owners fits, and is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game. The Patriots signed RB Raymont Harris, just in case.

N.Y. Jets — If the Jets learned anything last week, it’s that RB Curtis Martin needs to carry the ball more than 15-20 times per game. He rushed for 203 yards on 30 carries last week. I’d predict much of the same against a very solid Raiders defense, at least as far as Martin’s carries go. QB Vinny Testaverde could have trouble against the Raiders’ strong secondary.

AFC Central

Baltimore — Look for QB Trent Dilfer to throw plenty of deep passes vs. a San Diego pass defense that got absolutely scorched last Sunday vs. the Niners. Dilfer has completed three passes of 40 yards or more in the Ravens’ last two games. He also has nine TDs passing in his last four games. Baltimore WRs Qadry Ismail and Patrick Johnson could be fantasy forces. So could Ravens PK Matt Stover (three more FGs last week to add to his league-leading scoring total) and a Ravens defense that would love to tie the Steelers’ league record of five shutouts in a season.

Cincinnati — RB Corey Dillon should definitely be your only fantasy starter in Cincinnati. Flirtations with starting WR Peter Warrick or TE Tony McGee should not carry much weight at playoff time, especially with a visit to Tennessee this weekend. McGee finally caught his first TD pass of the year last week, while the Bengals continue to struggle to get Warrick the ball with room to run.

Cleveland — Not that you would be starting a Browns’ player, but here is the skinny on the Cleveland QB situation. Rookie Spergon Wynn is out this week with a knee injury. That means that Doug Pederson is back in the saddle as the starter.

Jacksonville — If you’ve got any Jaguars players, this week they should be in your starting lineup. They will be facing a Cardinals defense that hasn’t been able to stop anyone this season. RB Fred Taylor, QB Mark Brunell, TE Kyle Brady and WRs Jimmy Smith and Keenan McCardell are all must-plays in Week 15.

Pittsburgh — Kordell Stewart has emerged as a viable fantasy threat once again. He’s got the hot hand right now, but I’d wait one more week to see if his five passing touchdowns and two rushing touchdowns in the last two games are for real. The Giants’ defense is no wet paper towel.

AFC West

Denver — In case for some reason you were deliberating about starting RB Mike Anderson, you should know he’s gained 543 yards over the last three games. He rushed for 195 yards and two touchdowns in Week 13 against Seattle, the Broncos opponent this week. The Seahawks are ranked 28th in the league in run defense.

Kansas City — In case some fantasy owners are still interested in the struggling RB-by-committee approach in Kansas City, head coach Gunther Cunningham made a change in the depth chart this week. Say goodbye to Kimble Anders as the starting running back. FB Tony Richardson will slide over to assume that spot, while Donnell Bennett is promoted to starting fullback. Rookie RB Frank Moreau is now the short-yardage specialist.

Oakland — RB Napoleon Kaufman’s numbers have really dropped off as of late. He’s averaging 5.3 yards per carry but has only gotten the call 89 times this season. More importantly, Kaufman has caught just 13 passes this season despite being in primarily on passing situations.

Seattle — RB Ricky Watters took some time off from practice this week to rest his turf toe. While it’s possible Watters’ playing time could be somewhat limited this week vs. Denver, it’s doubtful to get overly excited about playing rookie Shaun Alexander.

NFC East

Arizona — Be very wary of starting QB Jake Plummer this week. He sat out of practice on Thursday because of bruised ribs, which left his availability for this week’s game in Jacksonville very much up in the air. Even if he does get healthy enough to play, he may not be that effective.

Dallas — You don’t have to worry about Chris Warren stealing any of Emmitt Smith’s yards or touchdowns anymore, as the backup runner has been cut. Michael Wiley will handle the third-down duties. … This is not a week to play a Cowboys’ receiver. The Redskins’ secondary is superb, and you just know that Deion Sanders will be looking to impress his former fans in Dallas.

New York Giants — WR Ike Hilliard is expected to return to the lineup this week after missing a couple of games with bruised lungs. You may want to avoid playing him this week though, as he may not be able to go for the whole game.

Philadelphia — A late-season pickup that could help you is Chris Warren. While he may not do much this week for the Eagles, and the team has a bye in Week 16, Warren could wind up replacing Darnell Autry as the starter in Week 17 to give the Eagles an extended look at what kind of runner they have before entering the postseason. Warren scored three touchdowns for the Cowboys this season before getting cut earlier this week.

Washington — For all of you who drafted Jeff George thinking that he would eventually become the full-time starter ahead of Brad Johnson, congratulations. You guessed correctly. George will start the rest of the season, unless he gets hurt. … With Terry Robiskie calling the plays, look for a slightly scaled-back offense. He vowed to simplify a few things. Robiskie wants a power-running game, which will feature a lot of Stephen Davis. He also has ties to the Raiders, who loved to go vertical back in the day. Don’t be surprised to see Robiskie let George go deep fairly regularly.

NFC Central

Chicago — With Gary Crowton now the head coach at Brigham Young, QB coach John Shoop takes over as the Bears’ offensive coordinator. This may impact RBs James Allen and Curtis Enis because Shoop will be searching for more balance than Crowton ever did. Of course, given the state of the Bears’ WR corps (minus Marcus Robinson and Bobby Engram), the team has little choice but to feed defenses a heavy dosage of runs. Dez White and Marty Booker saw playing time in Robinson’s place last week. … The Bears will start Shane Matthews at quarterback Sunday rather than put Cade McNown back on the field. McNown has been out with a shoulder injury, but he’s been given the go-ahead to play. However, the Bears don’t believe he’s had enough practice time to get his rhythm back and feel comfortable in the offense.

Green Bay — Thinking about playing WR Bill Schroeder this week against Detroit? Makes sense. After all, he has two 100-yard games in the last three. But take this fun stat into consideration. Credit goes to columnist Cliff Christl of the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. The Packers have played six games against teams that had defenses ranked in the top 14. In those games, Schroeder has totaled 14 catches for 174 yards. In the other seven games, which have been against teams with defenses in the bottom 16, Schroeder has totaled 38 catches for 632 yards. Where do the Lions rank, you ask. No. 14. Oops.

Tampa Bay — Frustrated with WR Keyshawn Johnsons ineffectiveness? You should be, and it doesn’t figure to get any better. This is what Johnson said this week in regard to Dolphins CBs Sam Madison and Patrick Surtain: "They’re going to earn their paychecks pretty easily this week. We don’t throw the ball." He’s right. The Bucs haven’t thrown 20 passes or more in the last three games. Furthermore, when the Bucs do throw, they don’t look very good. QB Shaun King has had receivers open, but he’s been reluctant to throw the ball. Tampa Bay has had its success on the ground in recent weeks, with Warrick Dunn rushing for 316 yards and four touchdowns in the last two games. He should have a much tougher Sunday against a very good Dolphins defense.

NFC West

Atlanta on bye

Carolina— RB Tshimanga Biakabutuka’s latest visit to a foot specialist did nothing to clear up the turf-toe injury that will keep him out of a fourth consecutive game this Sunday. He will be replaced by Brad Hoover, who has shown enough to probably figure in the Panthers’ future plans as a Fred Lane-type complementary back. WR Muhsin Muhammad is on a roll with two strong outings in a row.

New Orleans — The team’s No. 1 back this Sunday vs. the 49ers’ improved defense is none other than veteran pickup Terry Allen. Allen, who was obtained four weeks ago, wasn’t expected to be used unless there was an emergency, and that’s what the Saints have with both RBs Chad Morton (shoulder) and Jerald Moore (neck) extremely iffy after injuries suffered last week. WR Joe Horn is probably licking his chops over the prospect of wreaking havoc with a 49ers secondary missing injured S Lance Schulters. In New Orleans’ last game vs. San Francisco, Horn had 10 catches for 180 yards — the third-most receiving yards in club history. Aaron Brooks is right at the top of the list in terms of current QB fantasy potential. His club single-game passing record 441 yards in defeat vs. Denver was most impressive, even though a lot of those yards came in a catchup mode.

St. Louis — QB Kurt Warner suddenly isn’t the end-all as far as fantasy QBs go after a very rusty, four-interception performance in the loss to Carolina last Sunday — the Rams’ second weak offensive outing in a row. Warner could be helped, though, by the fact he’ll be facing the Vikings’ 25th-ranked pass defense. Keep a close eye on RB Marshall Faulk, who has been pretty much held in check the last few games. The Rams have vowed to show more patience with their ground game after the Panthers had more than twice as many rushing attempts at St. Louis last Sunday, and Faulk should be motivated by the fact he needs just 75 yards rushing for his sixth 1,000-yard season. WRs Isaac Bruce and Torry Holt both had big games vs. Vikes the last time they played them in last year’s playoffs.

San Francisco — After choosing to very effectively emphasize their passing game in their win over the Chargers last Sunday, the red-hot 49ers (they’ve outscored their last three opponents 82-30) might opt for more of a ground game featuring RB Charlie Garner vs. a Saints run defense that will be missing space-eating DT Norman Hand. With Hand hobbling around last Sunday, Denver rookie RB Mike Anderson had a field day.

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