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Week Five fantasy football

Late-week fantasy tips

Friday, Oct. 8, 1999

Week Five byes: Carolina, Seattle, Washington

AFC EAST

Buffalo — Despite solid overall play, the Bills haven’t had an especially good fantasy defense in the past. They have been a zone team, which doesn’t lead to a lot of interceptions. But the Bills played a lot more man-on-man vs. the Dolphins, and Buffalo’s aggressiveness led to turnovers. If your current defense isn’t producing, the Bills might be worth considering.

Indianapolis — RB Darick Holmes is expected to return from a leg injury this week, but he will not cut into rookie Edgerrin James’ playing time.

WR E.G. Green (knee) is not expected to play. Jerome Pathon will start in his place. Since the Colts have only three healthy receivers (Pathon, Marvin Harrison and Terrence Wilkins), look for Peyton Manning to throw to James and TEs Ken Dilger and Marcus Pollard more this week.

Miami — Rookie RB Cecil Collins will make his first start and is expected to get the majority of the carries. J.J. Johnson is No. 2, and Karim Abdul-Jabbar is No. 3. It may be time to drop Abdul-Jabbar.

Look for the Dolphins to make a concerted effort to get the ball to WR Tony Martin, who was largely ignored Monday night.

New England — Rookie RB Kevin Faulk is expected to return this week. His primary duties will be on kick returns, though he will spell Terry Allen at times. Allen carried 21 times last week. That’s the maximum workload you can expect for him this season.

N.Y. Jets — WR Wayne Chrebet, who’s been out all year with a broken foot, could return for Monday night’s game. We don’t suggest starting him just yet. QB Rick Mirer and Keyshawn Johnson seem to have found a comfort zone. Chrebet’s return would only help Johnson.

AFC CENTRAL

Baltimore — Head coach Brian Billick appears to be swaying a bit from his pass-first mode and could be pounding the ball a bit more with RB Errict Rhett’s recent success.

Cincinnati — With rookie QB Akili Smith moving into the starting lineup this week, all Bengals receivers lose fantasy value. Our advice is to stay away from WRs Carl Pickens and Darnay Scott and TE Tony McGee this week. RB Corey Dillon is worth consideration as a starter, but he has not gotten as many carries as he would like to at this point in the season.

Jacksonville — RB Fred Taylor continues to be hampered by the hamstring injury. He didn’t practice this week, so it’s a good bet that he won’t do much on Monday night. That means James Stewart could be a good play. When Taylor is not in the game, the offense struggles as a whole. WR Jimmy Smith, who has hooked up with QB Mark Brunell for a lot of big plays the last couple of years, isn’t nearly as effective when Taylor isn’t on the field. Teams can focus more on Smith when they don’t have to worry about Taylor making a big play.

Pittsburgh — Despite the offense’s struggles in recent weeks, head coach Bill Cowher believes Kordell Stewart & Co. are on the verge of snapping out of it. We’ll believe it when we see it.

Tennessee — QB Steve McNair felt no pain after doing his first rehab work since undergoing surgery to repair a ruptured disc in his lower back Sept. 19. "I passed. I got into level one," McNair said of the 90-minute session. "I did the exercises with no problems, no pain. Hopefully, in the next couple days I have no pain, no soreness, and I can move on up."

AFC WEST

Denver — Derek Loville is the leading candidate to take over for the injured Terrell Davis as the Broncos’ lead running back. But Loville pulled his hamstring in practice this week and appears to be 50-50 for Sunday’s game vs. the Raiders. If he can’t go, rookie Olandis Gary will probably get the bulk of the carries. Gary may be worth a look in larger leagues, because he’s next in line if Loville struggles or gets hurt.

Bubby Brister’s appearance in the starting lineup shouldn’t change much for the Broncos’ receivers. That means you should still think of Ed McCaffrey as a top-15 receiver, Rod Smith as a notch below McCaffrey and TE Shannon Sharpe as a starting-caliber tight end.

Kansas City— Stay away from WR Andre Rison the rest of the season. It appears he has been passed on the depth chart by Kevin Lockett, who has been getting open a lot more often recently, and Joe Horn, who has TD catches in each of the last two games. Neither Lockett nor Horn is a great option in fantasy leagues to this point, although they may be worth considering in very deep or keeper leagues.

RB Bam Morris (hamstring) is again listed as questionable this week. Considering Morris’ condition and the Chiefs’ banged-up offensive line, it’s best not to play him this week.

Oakland — Tyrone Wheatley is now unquestionably the Raiders’ No. 1 running back. As a result, you should not start Napoleon Kaufman unless it is absolutely necessary. Kaufman’s main role now is as a change-of-pace back and a kickoff returner.

San Diego — Although QB Jim Harbaugh (ribs, elbow, concussion) practiced Thursday and could have started this Sunday, head coach Mike Riley has decided instead to start Erik Kramer against his former team and give Harbaugh an additional week to heal. RB Natrone Means (ankle) hasn’t practiced this week but should play. However, WR Mikhael Ricks (neck) was downgraded from questionable to doubtful and probably won’t take the field vs. Detroit. If he can’t go, Chris Penn would move into the starting lineup opposite Jeff Graham. If Ricks doesn’t play, that may also open the door for TE Freddie Jones to get the ball more often this week.

Seattle — On bye. WR Charles Jordan could return as soon as next week (Week Six) vs. San Diego. He would step in as the No. 3 receiver, behind Sean Dawkins and Derrick Mayes.

NFC EAST

Arizona — WR Rob Moore is listed as doubtful this week because of a hamstring injury. Considering the QB problems in Arizona, and the fact that they are facing a very solid Giants secondary, don’t risk playing Moore this week.

Dallas — If you have the Dallas defense, it might not be a bad idea to play it this week. First, the Cowboys face the hapless Eagles offense. Second, they have Deion Sanders back, who is always a threat to pick off a pass and take it all the way. Third, the defense is making big plays that result in scores — DE Greg Ellis has already scored two touchdowns this season.

N.Y. Giants — The Giants will be starting QB Kerry Collins this week because Kent Graham is out with a concussion. Collins has plenty of incentive to play well vs. the Cardinals, because if he lights it up out there, the starting job will remain his. If he stinks, Graham will start in Week Six.

It may be a good week to play Gary Brown. The Giants were encouraged by his performance last week. He gives the Giants the between-the-tackles running threat they had been lacking. Considering that Cardinals DT Eric Swann is not expected to play much, and DT Mark Smith is doubtful with a knee injury, Brown could be in store for a big game.

Philadelphia — Nothing new to report on the QB scene. Doug Pederson gets the start vs. the Cowboys but will probably be replaced at some point by rookie Donovan McNabb.

NFC CENTRAL

Chicago — Look at Shane Matthews’ week-by-week numbers, and it’s easy to see that the Bears’ starting quarterback hasn’t thrown downfield much. He’s never thrown for more than 245 yards in a game, and his average yardage per attempt is only 5.77, among the lowest in the league. Sure, he has six TD passes in four games, but he’s not going to give fantasy owners many yardage bonuses, if any. It’s not that the Bears haven’t tried to throw downfield with Matthews, he just hasn’t completed many attempts. Matthews also checks off on plenty of downfield passing opportunities.

Detroit — WR Herman Moore will most likely not play this Sunday vs. San Diego. Moore, who sprained his left knee in the season opener Sept. 12, began running Monday and took part in a few practice plays Thursday. But he said he wasn’t ready enough. "If you’re asking me today, still I would not feel comfortable being in there," Moore said. "Anytime anybody came near, the first concern I had was hoping the person didn’t trip and fall against me." Head coach Bobby Ross has been preparing for the Chargers with the mindset that Moore will need one more week of rehab.

Green Bay — For those of you wondering whether to keep Antonio Freeman in your lineup because he has only one touchdown in three games, take heed: Leave him alone! His 17 receptions for 252 yards have him on pace for 90 catches and 1,344 yards. And don’t think for a second that because his 17 receptions rank him 12th in the NFC, the Packers haven’t been able to get him the ball. Freeman was the target of nine passes in Week One and 17 in Week Two — and he played that game while ill. True, teams are defending Freeman much as they have been Randy Moss, with a cornerback playing him tight and a safety hovering over the top to eliminate the big play. But Freeman remains an integral part of the Packers’ offense. Leave him alone!

Minnesota — The Vikings are trying to give Randy Moss more responsibilities in the offense by moving him around and giving him more routes to run. Entering the season, there was some concern that Moss, whose playbook was very limited last season, wouldn’t be able to handle the load. But he has the football intelligence to learn more things, and the Vikings are trying to take advantage of it. For instance, on Moss’ second TD catch vs. the Buccaneers last Sunday, he was lined up as the inside receiver of two slot receivers, matching him up with a linebacker. The result: a 27-yard TD grab. Minnesota’s goal is to dictate matchups like that one rather than have matchups dictated to them.

WR Cris Carter is questionable for the Bears game Sunday with a hip flexor. Said head coach Dennis Green: "Certainly, it’s more sore than he realized it would be. A lot is going to depend on how much loosening up takes place." Carter was hobbled pretty good Thursday walking around. It will be a tough call whether he’ll play or not, but he probably won’t be 100 percent anyway. Check your Sunday pregame shows for further info.

Tampa Bay —The Buccaneers’ running game will be limited in what it can do this week vs. the Packers. With TE Patrick Hape (concussion) expected to miss the game, the Bucs won’t be able to use their elephant package, which has Hape, a solid blocker, lined up in front of Mike Alstott. Hape suffered his second concussion in two weeks on his first play from scrimmage vs. the Vikings last Sunday. This week the Bucs will either call up rookie FB Kevin McCleod from the practice squad or simply use more one-RB sets. Whatever the case, Alstott will probably have to make many of his yards vs. the Packers on his own.

NFC WEST

Atlanta —Ken Oxendine takes over for Byron Hanspard (shoulder) at running back this week, and Tony Graziani once again starts at quarterback after having to leave last week’s game with a concussion.

Carolina — Panthers receivers are still out of sync and had their share of drops again last week.

San Francisco — QB Steve Young will be inactive this Sunday, as Jeff Garcia gets the starting nod. Steve Stenstrom will be the backup QB, and Pat Barnes was re-signed Friday to serve as the emergency QB. Expect the 49ers to keep the pressure off Garcia on the road this week and rely on RBs Charlie Garner and Lawrence Phillips to get the ground game going.

St. Louis — Get your Rams receivers into the lineup because they will be going against an undersized group of cover men in San Francisco.

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