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"In our opinion" daily fantasy football columns

Monday, Sept. 27, 1999

Week Three observations

What you should do if your top draft choice isn’t producing

By Steve Soucie

If you pulled the ace card from your league’s draft selection process, you were probably feeling pretty good about yourself. After all, you were assured to get a major load of points from the fantasy football god, Terrell Davis.

If you pulled the two-through-five cards, you were probably still feeling pretty good. After all, you were going to get someone good. Fred Taylor, Jamal Anderson, Randy Moss and Brett Favre were all there for the taking.

Oh, what is a top draft selector to do?

Apparently not much in terms of scoring points.

Here’s a look at some of the top picks and an analysis of whether or not you should be concerned about the lackluster performances they have put forth.

Terrell Davis — Be afraid. Be very, very afraid. It appears that the early-season efforts were not a fluke. It’s not really Terrell’s fault, as defenses are often stacking as many as nine players in the box when the game situation warrants a run. It doesn’t matter who you are, anyone will have trouble running against a nine-man front. Unless Brian Griese can make the opposition pay for that blatant disregard for Denver’s air attack, Davis will have a hard time finding somewhere to run.

Fred Taylor — Taylor’s annoying hamstring problem kept him on the sideline once again this week, frustrating those who felt Taylor might be on the verge of fantasy greatness. Through three weeks, Taylor has produced exactly no fantasy points.

For those who made a heavy investment in him, hoping he would anchor the Jaguars’ running attack, Taylor might turn out to be a big disappointment. He’ll probably be fine with rest, but some strong running by James Stewart in Taylor’s absence probably allows the Jaguars to slowly acclimate him to the offense upon his return. That’s good for Taylor’s health, but bad for his fantasy owners.

Jamal Anderson — Unless you are in a very strange league, it is very, very difficult to make up for the loss of your top draft pick. Pick up Byron Hanspard and hope for the best. There was a time when Hanspard was ahead of Anderson on the Falcons’ depth chart; now he has a chance to prove whether that sort of faith was warranted.

Randy Moss — Moss looks really, really frustrated. Even after catching a short TD pass Sunday, Moss still appeared as if he were about to explode from frustration.

I don’t really have a clear explanation for what’s going on with Moss and the Vikings. It was an encouraging sign for Moss owners when the Vikings tried two separate jump-ball plays in the corner of the endzone. It shows they are still very committed to him. However, something doesn’t look quite right with the Minnesota offense. I think they will figure it out, but until then, don’t expect a truckload of points from last year’s breakout performer.

Brett Favre — He might be the only guy who can get this kind of production playing with this kind of pain. Even so, you have to wonder how much pain this guy can withstand. It’s certainly not going to be too long before Favre is sidelined for an extended period of time. My advice would be to start planning now for the inevitable, quietly pick up a suitable backup before your opposition can fleece you through a desperation trade.

Granted, the league’s top five performers haven’t been performing up to their usual standards. But before making a rash decision, remember this: These five players reached this level for a reason. They are awfully good. Don’t be too quick to rid yourself of them (other than Anderson, obviously); they could really come back and burn you.

Around the league

This week saw some unorthodox performers catapult themselves to fantasy superstar status, albeit temporarily perhaps.

Let’s take a look at each of these performers:

Tim Biakabutuka, Carolina This breakout effort can be easily defined, then effectively ignored. Biakabutuka, a longtime low producer, broke two long touchdown runs and gained well over 100 yards in just eight carries. But the critical information to take under advisement is the fact that he completed the feat against an abhorrent Cincinnati run defense. Biakabutuka might have found the going more difficult against a good high school team than the front the Bengals put forth.

If anything can be learned from this explosion, it is that you want to probably avoid regular play of the inconsistent Biakabutuka and instead play ANYONE running against the Bengals.

The Kansas City running back derby Bam Morris has a hamstring problem and will probably work his way out of the playing rotation and leave it up to the potentially explosive Rashaan Shehee and the steady but boring Donnell Bennett. Both had similar numbers Sunday, but Shehee has more upside.

Curtis Enis, Chicago His numbers don’t look good from a net rushing standpoint. Yet the Bears appear determined to use him, and he has now scored in three consecutive weeks.

Jake Reed, Minnesota Reed put together his second consecutive great week. Fantasy players probably forgot about him just as easily as opposing defenses seem to have, but he is really on a nice roll for an offense that is struggling.

And now the lowlights:

Napoleon Kaufman, Oakland With the Raiders gaining confidence in Tyrone Wheatley, Kaufman will probably be relegated to a change-of-pace role. Sunday, Kaufman ran 10 times for 18 yards. The more frightening fact is that Kaufman’s long carry was for 18.

Duce Staley, Philadelphia Probably the only featured back who had a worse day than Kaufman, Staley racked up just six yards on 10 tries. This is a clear sign that the Eagles have huge offensive problems, and all Eagles should be avoided in your lineup at all costs.

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