Click here to stay in the archives
Click here to go back to ProFootballWeekly.com
Commentaries from Pro Football Weekly

Monday, March 22, 1999

 

Buyer beware

The age-old question: Are workout results a reliable barometer of a player’s worth on the football field?

By JOEL BUCHSBAUM, Contributing editor

In 1965, the 49ers drafted Ken Willard, a fullback from the University of North Carolina, over players named Gale Sayers, Dick Butkus and Joe Namath. Willard was an excellent fullback who had terrific hands, blocked very well and never fumbled or blew an assignment. He was a really good, solid inside runner who went on to have a fine and underrated career. It also took him about 4.9-5.0 seconds to cover 40 yards, and he rarely, if ever, broke a long play. However, that really did not concern the 49ers at the time.

Willard was an excellent all-around football player who filled a need, and, unlike Sayers, Butkus and Namath, he was someone the 49ers could sign and not lose to the hated AFL. A few years earlier, Lance Alworth, the man Red Hickey had to have to make his shotgun offense go, opted to bypass the financially strapped 49ers for the filthy-rich Chargers of the rival league.

In ’68, the Cowboys drafted David McDaniels, a wide receiver out of Mississippi Valley State — the school that later produced Jerry Rice — in the second round, because he ran a 4.4 or 4.5 for their scouts. But, when they got to training camp, everyone could guard the seemingly slow McDaniels. Then, when the team put the watch on him, he ran about a 4.8.

McDaniels was drafted for one reason: his workout numbers. However, the numbers were skewed because, instead of running on a 40-yard surface, he ran on a shorter surface that had been mismarked. As luck would have it, the good, old Bears had a similar clocking on McDaniels, and the Cowboys were able to save face by passing him off to Chicago for a second-round pick in ’70.

Ever since McDaniels, it seems as though the teams that really don’t do their homework on the scouting end or have coaches who carry less than a full scouting workload tend to put too much emphasis on the Scouting Combine and other postseason underwear drills and lose sight of what the 49ers realized about Willard: It still comes down to how you play football.

However, in many cases, especially those of underclassmen who enter the draft after being off limits to scouts all year, workouts can help to fill in the missing pieces. For instance, in Kentucky’s offense, the team regards it as a mistake whenever it has to throw a pass in the 19- to 35-yard range, because it prefers shorter routes. So, without a workout, scouts could not tell how strong Tim Couch’s arm is.

But, by the same token, D.J. Dozier went from a third-round pick who lacked breakaway speed to a first-round pick because, instead of running a 4.6 in the 40, he shocked scouts by running a 4.4. The only problem was he still played as though he had 4.6 speed and never broke long runs.

In recent years, more and more clubs are learning not to take a Michael Haddix over a James Jones because he has great Combine numbers, or a Jackie Shipp in Round One because, despite average instincts, he works out like Superman. They must balance and weigh all factors in the equation.

They also have come to realize that many of the top picks’ private workouts are orchestrated by agents and trainers who taught these players how to shave time off drills with perfect technique and form. Hence, these workouts have become almost worthless from a football standpoint.

The Archives
1998 - 1999 Season

Online writers — features and columns by our PFW staff, columnists, AFC reporters, NFC reporters and contributing writers
Fantasy football — articles, injury reports, weekly fantasy tips, The Fantasy Doctor, mock drafts, draft boards, "In our opinion" daily fantasy columns
Free-agency
General features
Handicapper's Corner — staff selections, games of the week, PFW Players of the Week, NFL standings, weekly handicapping columns, predictions
"In our opinion" daily columns — opinions on general football topics
Joel Buchsbaum — college player evaluations, NFL player analysis and other NFL articles by PFW's contributing editor
NFL Draft — player evaluations, printouts, feature stories, commentaries, draft recaps
NFL Europe
Ron Pollack — articles and commentary by PFW's editor-in-chief
Season in review — the 1998-1999 NFL season

 

Thanks for visiting Pro Football Weekly's Archives at archive.profootballweekly.com

Click here to go to ProFootballWeekly.com Click here to return to our main site
ProFootballWeekly.com

© 1998-2001 by Pro Football Weekly, a Primedia publication. All rights reserved. Reproduction without permission is prohibited.